Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 162.326020 186.223960 213.030332 245.440496 283.714424 327.655486 382.181974
2025-10-26 131.258395 162.517358 200.848046 251.755159 318.258727 403.109726 521.052575
2025-11-02 112.314076 146.590264 191.321520 254.855977 344.218317 467.624940 654.845813
2025-11-09 99.534254 135.472580 184.774747 258.744971 369.365536 532.712233 800.028875
2025-11-16 88.796207 125.127736 177.089443 258.748032 387.468502 588.985126 941.772540
2025-11-23 80.071501 116.274945 169.965821 257.859110 403.074868 642.776736 1089.331483
2025-11-30 73.828349 110.200934 165.975263 260.818811 424.614018 709.007926 1271.799626
2025-12-07 65.996312 100.733856 155.471144 251.509976 423.590716 735.358357 1384.985979
2025-12-14 60.578958 94.479272 149.326385 248.548542 432.915198 781.434428 1546.577712
2025-12-21 56.997838 90.809797 146.968105 251.726302 453.671010 852.368260 1776.420303
2025-12-28 55.135203 89.785202 148.912806 262.783089 490.932295 962.628901 2121.651946
2026-01-04 53.127000 88.284730 149.806025 271.881155 525.572338 1073.766616 2499.528460
2026-01-11 49.169108 83.329558 144.588607 269.766826 539.508353 1148.798031 2827.926748
2026-01-18 46.761310 80.968929 143.984231 277.005114 575.493862 1284.373420 3372.488057
2026-01-25 44.151650 77.948045 141.743843 280.479147 603.668832 1408.083479 3932.796150
2026-02-01 41.908027 75.376045 140.053698 284.826481 634.681038 1546.926075 4599.204151
2026-02-08 39.443193 72.128371 136.634650 284.829924 655.102077 1662.789967 5242.239601
2026-02-15 37.127422 68.952659 133.011227 283.836232 672.832093 1775.950371 5930.226668
2026-02-22 35.412160 66.819849 131.333214 287.145011 702.558808 1932.946293 6866.623282
2026-03-01 32.699968 62.413717 124.350804 276.740575 693.046139 1966.455306 7319.398018
2026-03-08 30.801865 59.544493 120.445824 273.432034 702.999619 2066.023757 8116.001733
2026-03-15 29.580426 57.997817 119.317656 276.982284 733.621677 2244.376576 9386.127845
2026-03-22 29.062006 57.908917 121.469250 289.341337 793.394681 2545.082474 11475.306303